Maple Leafs vs. Kings Prediction & Picks - October 16

Pittsburgh Penguins v Toronto Maple Leafs

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1), coming off a 4-2 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins, host the Los Angeles Kings (1-0-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, October 16 at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The Kings lost to the Ottawa Senators 8-7 in overtime in their last game.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which squad we predict will bring home the victory in Wednesday's action on the ice.

Maple Leafs vs. Kings Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Kings 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-167)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs were 14-11-25 in overtime games on their way to a 46-26-10 overall record last season.
  • In the 32 games Toronto played that were decided by one goal, it had a 17-6-9 record (good for 43 points).
  • The 12 times last season the Maple Leafs ended a game with only one goal, they went 2-9-1 (five points).
  • Toronto finished 4-10-2 in the 16 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 10 points).
  • The Maple Leafs scored more than two goals in 61 games (43-10-8, 94 points).
  • In the 30 games when Toronto scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 37 points by finishing 17-10-3.
  • When it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 27-16-8 (62 points).
  • The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent in 33 games, going 20-12-1 to record 41 points.

Kings Splits and Trends

  • The Kings had a record of 44-27-11 last season and were 8-11-19 in overtime games.
  • Los Angeles picked up 34 points (14-8-6) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
  • Last season the Kings registered only one goal in 15 games, and they finished 0-14-1.
  • Los Angeles picked up 18 points (7-8-4 record) last season when scoring two goals .
  • The Kings scored three or more goals in 50 games, earning 82 points from those contests.
  • Last season Los Angeles recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games and picked up 46 points, with a record of 21-8-4.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Los Angeles was 26-19-8 (60 points).
  • The Kings were outshot by their opponents in 31 games last season, going 16-12-3 to register 35 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Kings AVG Kings Rank
2nd 3.63 Goals Scored 3.1 16th
21st 3.18 Goals Allowed 2.56 3rd
7th 32.6 Shots 31.9 9th
16th 29.8 Shots Allowed 28 4th
7th 23.95% Power Play % 22.58% 11th
23rd 76.89% Penalty Kill % 84.58% 2nd

Maple Leafs vs. Kings Game Time and TV Channel

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